Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.086776 0.097084 0.107765 0.119631 0.132417 0.145751 0.160680
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.067566 0.082361 0.098612 0.117659 0.139241 0.162808 0.190358
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.055184 0.072870 0.093359 0.118526 0.148280 0.182014 0.222824
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045285 0.064574 0.088065 0.118173 0.155119 0.198374 0.252212
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.040687 0.061932 0.088903 0.124679 0.169884 0.224127 0.293104
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037102 0.059968 0.090111 0.131316 0.184711 0.250123 0.334799
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032025 0.055217 0.087027 0.131886 0.191510 0.266073 0.364288
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026716 0.049379 0.081796 0.128997 0.193358 0.275501 0.385550
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.024561 0.047926 0.082440 0.133911 0.205423 0.298047 0.423650
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.022253 0.045910 0.082011 0.137139 0.215147 0.317627 0.458213
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.019926 0.043544 0.080797 0.139041 0.222948 0.334701 0.489716
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.017638 0.040926 0.078925 0.139760 0.228967 0.349383 0.518216
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.017310 0.041891 0.082950 0.149750 0.248874 0.383872 0.574493
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014988 0.038905 0.080419 0.149728 0.254531 0.399274 0.605921
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013327 0.036932 0.079371 0.151883 0.263368 0.419226 0.643868
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011544 0.034418 0.077153 0.152003 0.269117 0.434936 0.676302
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011124 0.034715 0.079842 0.160074 0.286921 0.467875 0.732794
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010733 0.035009 0.082508 0.168155 0.304892 0.501316 0.790424
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009456 0.033053 0.080852 0.168902 0.311540 0.518570 0.825699
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007865 0.030020 0.076882 0.165476 0.311528 0.526130 0.847462
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007432 0.029825 0.078341 0.171372 0.326192 0.555177 0.899741
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006835 0.029086 0.078651 0.175237 0.337692 0.579742 0.945975
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006152 0.027972 0.078098 0.177512 0.346657 0.600672 0.987274